贝叶斯网络的目标打击过程中关键行动选择方法

PDF下载HTML

Title:

Bayes network based critical action selecting method in target striking process

作者:

雷霆^1,2, 朱承¹, 张维明¹

1. 国防科技大学 信息系统工程重点实验室, 湖南 长沙 410073;
2. 军事科学院 运筹所, 北京 100091

Author(s):

LEI Ting^1,2, ZHU Cheng¹, ZHANG Weiming¹

1. Science and Technology on Information Systems Engineering Laboratory, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha 410073, China;
2. Institute of Military Operation Research of the Academy, Military Science, Beijing 100091, China

关键词:

目标体系; 目标选择; 面向对象贝叶斯网络; 关键行动集; 目标关联

Keywords:

target SoS; target selecting; object-oriented Bayesian network; critical action set; target recorrelation

分类号:

TP18

DOI:

10.3969/j.issn.1673-4785.201310014

摘要:

研究了如何在打击复杂关联目标过程中选择关键行动的问题。在描述目标体系层次结构和典型目标间影响关系的基础上, 使用面对对象贝叶斯网络构建了打击目标体系效果分析模型, 并基于目标间属性相似度给出了计算目标响应影响关系条件概率的方法, 给出了基于深度搜索的关键行动选择的启发式算法, 最后, 以典型的防空目标体系为例对模型进行了分析与验证。结果表明, 该模型和方法能够在目标间具有复杂关联的条件下为打击行动决策提供辅助。

Abstract:

This article deals with selecting critical actions for destroying the targets having correlation. Firstly, the structure of the target system of system (TSoS) and the typical influence among targets are analyzed, and the target SoS striking effect analysis model is constructed by the object-oriented Bayesian network (OOBN), and the conditional probability of reaction relations between targets is calculated by the similarities between targets attributes. Secondly, a heuristic based on deep-first-search is proposed for critical action selection. Finally, an example of typical air defense TSoS is given for analyzing and validating the model, and the result shows that the proposed model and the method can provide assurance for critical action selecting decision making under the conditions of complex relations among targets.