[1]WANG Dewen,MIAO Qingjian,LI Chenghao,et al.GPT4PF: fine-tuning pre-trained LLM for photovoltaic power prediction[J].CAAI Transactions on Intelligent Systems,2026,21(4):864-875.[doi:10.11992/tis.202507023]
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CAAI Transactions on Intelligent Systems[ISSN 1673-4785/CN 23-1538/TP] Volume:
21
Number of periods:
2026 4
Page number:
864-875
Column:
学术论文—机器学习
Public date:
2026-07-05
- Title:
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GPT4PF: fine-tuning pre-trained LLM for photovoltaic power prediction
- Author(s):
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WANG Dewen1; 2; MIAO Qingjian1; LI Chenghao1; SUN Yuan1; ZHAO Wenqing1; 3
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1. Department of Computer, North China Electric Power University, Baoding 071003, China;
2. Hebei Key Laboratory of Knowledge Computing for Energy & Power, Baoding 071003, China;
3. Engineering Research Center of Intelligent Computing for Complex Energy Systems Ministry of Education, Baoding 071003, China
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- Keywords:
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pre-trained large language model; photovoltaic forecast; large language model; time encoding; multi-stage fine-tuning; time-series segmentation; input encoding; linear probing
- CLC:
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TP183; TM615
- DOI:
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10.11992/tis.202507023
- Abstract:
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Accurate photovoltaic power forecasting is crucial for ensuring the security of power systems and improving the efficiency of solar energy utilization.This study proposed a photovoltaic power forecasting model named GPT4PF, which was developed by fine-tuning a pre-trained large language model (LLM). A highly adaptive and efficient three-stage fine-tuning strategy was proposed, which enhanced forecasting accuracy while limiting the number of training parameters to merely 0.49% of the total model parameters. An input encoding layer embedded with temporal information was constructed to strengthen the LLM’s capability of modeling temporal features. Ablation experiments showed that the mean absolute error (MAE) was reduced by approximately 1%. In addition, the issue that a single time point carries limited information and struggles to reflect the overall characteristics and patterns of photovoltaic data was addressed through time-series segmentation technology. Experimental results showed that compared with DLiner, PatchTST, and LLM4TS, the proposed model achieved a reduction in MAE by 18.9%, 4.1%, and 5.4% respectively.