[1]FENG Shan,GUO Si-hai,ZHOU Kai-bo,et al.A comprehensive means for evaluating techn ical r isk in the simulation based acquisition model for weapon systems[J].CAAI Transactions on Intelligent Systems,2008,3(5):384-392.
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A comprehensive means for evaluating techn ical r isk in the simulation based acquisition model for weapon systems

CAAI Transactions on Intelligent Systems[ISSN 1673-4785/CN 23-1538/TP] Volume: 3 Number of periods: 2008 5 Page number: 384-392 Column: 学术论文—智能系统 Public date: 2008-10-25
Title:
A comprehensive means for evaluating techn ical r isk in the simulation based acquisition model for weapon systems
Author(s):
FENG Shan1 ;  GUO Si-hai1;  2 ;  ZHOU Kai-bo1
1. Institute of Systems Engineering, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, China;
2. School of Automa2 tion, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430074, China
Keywords:
simulation based acquisition;  technical risk;  qualitative and quantitative meta-synthesis;  cloud model
CLC:
TP391
DOI:
-
Abstract:
When using simulation2based acquisition ( SBA) , technical risk is the fundamental risk in the lifecycle of the p rocess, particularly forweapon systems. Technical risk is a major factor leading to cost, time and effective2 ness risks. Because of the non2structural features of SBA, it is difficult to derive quantitative measurements of tech2 nical risk in the lifecycles ofweapon systems SBA. To resolve this, the concep ts ofweapon system SBA were ana2 lyzed, including technical risk and comp rehensive integration, then a qualitative and quantitative model for techni2 cal risk evaluation was developed. And evaluation p rocedures and a sequence of step swere established. Finally, to clarify the feasibility and effectiveness of the evaluation model, technical risk was evaluated for an air defense mis2 sile system.
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